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Author: Robert W. Colby

Unexpected Changes Can Happen Suddenly

Agriculture, PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund ETF (DBA) turned systematically neutral suddenly on 9/17/12 when price crossed below its 50-day SMA. Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) whipsawed back below its 200-day SMA. USO...

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Non confirmation?

The Dow-Jones Industrial Average rose above its closing price highs of the previous 4-years on 9/13/12, but the Dow-Jones Transportation Average languished below previous highs, thereby demonstrating non confirmation and bearish...

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FOMC: what are the risks?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is widely expected to announce QE3 Thursday afternoon–even though easing monetary policy does not appear to be sufficient for fixing the real global economic problems. The bullish...

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Expected Good News Already Discounted?

The markets are marking time, waiting for political appointees in high places in Europe and the FMOC to announce major decisions that will alter the course of your money and investments. Surely, these wonderful wizards will do...

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Investor Sentiment Too Bullish

Investor sentiment data indicates alarming degrees of optimism and bullish complacency as the stock price indexes rise above their 2012 market highs. The pendulum of emotion tends to swing too far in one direction, but market...

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Industrial Stocks Act Relatively Bearish

Industrial Stock Sector Relative Strength Ratio (XLI/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 2-years on 9/5/12, thereby confirming its preexisting major downtrend. XLI/SPY fell below its 50-day SMA on 8/27/12, thereby...

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